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Written by Secondary Fund Saints Capital: Alternative Paths to Liquidity in Private Companies
Written by SharesPost: Historical Return Analysis and Asset Allocation Strategies
Performensation provides customized equity compensation solutions to businesses
A great tool to compare startup salary and equity compensation
Another great compensation calculator, based on company job listings on AngelList
Arcstone Partners is a business valuation firm that specializes in 409A Valuations
Great questions to ask your future startup employer
Great questions to ask a prospective employer about your equity compensation offer
Potential changes to the accredited investor standard that impact angel investors and startups
A data-driven counterpoint to Bill Gurley is proffered by Ben Narasin of TriplePoint Ventures.
Sam Altman chimes in with some thoughts and a wager on his YC portfolio.
Bill Gurley of Benchmark gets back on the "risk bubble" soap box at SXSW.
Bill Gurley addresses early fears over a tech bubble and suggests the correct investment temperament for taking advantage of the situation.
Bill Gurley suggests that we are not in a valuation bubble, but in a risk bubble.
We're in a bubble worse than 2000, according to Mark Cuban
Lou Kerner weighs in on the tech bubble debate by comparing and contrasting data from the ’99-’00 tech bubble with today’s data.
Academic Aswath Damodaran tests Mark Cuban's bubble thesis.
Brooklyn Bridge Ventures’ Charlie O’Donnell maintains that, if we are in a tech bubble, many of today’s unicorns would survive through the inevitable downturn.
Bijan Sabet of Spark Capital discusses the Series A crunch and the possibility of slow-burn startups not getting a fair shot in the current funding environment.
Brandon Lipman, formerly of 3DLT, confidently proclaims that the tech bubble is here, but goes on to explain why the bubble may, in fact, be a good thing for the industry.
Bill Maris of Google Ventures compares the data both for and against the existence of a tech bubble, concluding that, if there is a bubble, it is of a different kind than the 2000 bubble.
Anand Sanwal of CB Insights offers a data-driven perspective on various unicorn trends, concluding that we’re not in a tech bubble.
The Scout Ventures Blog relates mispricing in the current tech boom to the negative effects of excess downside protection.
Sam Altman examines the potential pitfalls of high valuations and gives founders advice on managing their behaviors in light of the increased availability of capital.
Sam Altman takes his message to the masses on CNBC.
Mike Brown of the International Business Times describes the extensive, potential ramifications of a bubble burst, including significant job losses and a slowing of innovation due to a collapse of investor confidence in private tech companies.
Writing for Vanity Fair, Nick Bolton discusses numerous and disparate factors – from professional’s salaries to company operating costs – that indicate the existence of a tech bubble not totally dissimilar to the dot-com bubble, but notes various differences between the two that would affect the impact of an eventual burst.
Emily Chang of Bloomberg Business addresses the statements of Workday CEO Aneel Bhusri, who confidently stated that there is a private market bubble, but not a public market one.
Idriss Al Rifai, CEO of Fetchr, warns of the consequences for the global tech scene from the bursting of the tech bubble in Silicon Valley.
Gregg Greenberg of TheStreet describes the views of Kevin Kinsella, founder of Avalon Ventures, who argues for the existence of a tech bubble and asserts that hedge funds and private equity shops are investing capital into unicorns because there are no interesting alternative investments to make.
Morgan Bender, Benedict Evans, and Scott Kupor of VC firm Adreessen Horowitz discuss the differences between the dot-com bubble and today’s tech boom, noting that, for public stocks, today’s valuations are not high by historical standards, and that market size is real this time (with nearly four billion people online as opposed to forty million in 1999).
Timothy B. Lee of Vox Media challenges the conception of the present tech boom as a bubble akin to that of the late 1990s, arguing that the value of today’s technology companies is proportional to their future earnings potential, given the fact that there has been massive growth in Internet use, that many unicorns are already generating significant revenues, and that private company valuation is not comparable to the market capitalization of a public company.
Adam Lashinsky of Fortune Magazine explores subtler signs that the tech bubble is about to burst, from canceled land auctions in San Francisco to reports of tech company meetings at which revenue is deprioritized or ignored.
Teryn O’Brien of SiliconANGLE reports on the tech bubble discussion at OpenStack Silicon Valley 2015, where John Furrier, co-founder of CrodChat and SiliconANGLE Media, admitted to his belief that there is a tech bubble and that it’s bursting, though softly.
Writing for the Silicon Valley Business Journal, reporter Cromwell Schubarth discusses the statements of Ben Horowitz, founding partner of Andreesen Horowitz, who argues that while valuations have gotten high in certain tech sectors, those valuations have corrected themselves quickly.
Jeff Bercovici of Inc. surveys the tech industry and various high-stakes players in the tech industry, concluding that there is a tech bubble and that it will burst, but conceding, ultimately, that the bursting of the tech bubble will not wipe out everyone – only those who are not prepared for the change in investment climate.
Scott Rosenberg, cofounder of Salon.com, cogently argues against common misconceptions of the present day tech bubble, explaining that private investment transactions should not necessarily be extrapolated to billion dollar valuations, and that the bubble must eventually pop.
Christopher Mims of the Wall Street Journal clarifies how today’s tech bubble is less terrifying than the dot-com bubble, in that it is being inflated by relatively small amounts of money, and explains how the inevitable deflation would hardly affect the wider economy.
John Rampton, founder of Due, argues that there will not be a tech market crash, examining several unique factors, including but not limited to the reality that many thousands of employees involved in today’s “tech bubble” have unvested stock options which can later be used to re-invest and revitalize the industry.
Jonathan Marino of Business Insider unpacks the opinions of Goldman Sachs COO Gary Cohn regarding the present tech bubble. Cohn, who describes the tech scene as merely “bubble-ish,” believes that there is a massive difference between the dot-com era companies and today’s companies, where today’s tech unicorns are fundamental to our everyday lives.
Tom Taulli of Forbes believes evidence of a tech bubble is obvious, but argues that a crash may be a good thing, not only to bring about “creative destruction,” but also to create new opportunities for businesses designed to be frugal and profitable from an early stage.
Cromwell Schubarth of Silicon Valley Business Journal provides an overview of the tech industry’s discussions about a bubble at TechCrunch Disrupt, finding that many founders and funders acknowledge soaring private valuations but are unconcerned due to the changing, expanding marketplace, as well as the fact that private investors are more experienced than public investors at evaluating risk.
Carole Cadwalladr of The Guardian narrates her visit to TechCrunch Disrupt, where she interviews numerous entrepreneurs, VCs, and others about the existence of a tech bubble and the potential consequences of a bubble burst.
Mark Bergen of re/code unpacks the opinions of Bill Gurley, General Partner at VC firm Benchmark, who argues that his expectation of an impending tech bubble burst is simply pragmatic. Gurley further argues that great entrepreneurs can raise money in any cycle, and in fact, would be at an advantage when less money is available.
Mark Suster dives into one of his most in depth blog posts of the year, discussing the state of venture capital and where he believes the industry is heading.
For years, venture capitalists have encouraged their later-stage portfolio companies to take money from large mutual fund managers like Fidelity Investments.
It’s become a meme in tech circles, “IPOs are the new down round,” venture capitalists quip. The dreaded “down round,” when a startup raises capital beneath its prior valuation, is getting pushed back to the public markets.
Bill Gurley, a prominent Silicon Valley VC argues that tech startups are overvalued, profits are underrated, and a bust is coming.
Hang around venture capitalists in Silicon Valley and a clear sense of fear pervades the air. The main topic of conversation these days seems to be of humbled or fallen unicorns. Many are writing down the value of their holdings. This correction is driven by the impact of global macro changes on the late stage funding environment.
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